Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 2.104864 2.423375 2.773622 3.187342 3.662746 4.192026 4.826184
2025-05-25 1.600768 2.002446 2.481459 3.094841 3.859767 4.782812 5.982379
2025-06-01 1.309201 1.759366 2.335118 3.125604 4.183548 5.552077 7.459891
2025-06-08 1.071181 1.533740 2.163126 3.082256 4.391714 6.193020 8.865107
2025-06-15 0.960736 1.456064 2.168481 3.268054 4.924863 7.333081 11.110120
2025-06-22 0.846309 1.350502 2.113069 3.350628 5.312543 8.310292 13.255627
2025-06-29 0.732760 1.225878 2.006860 3.333977 5.538144 9.063736 15.155562
2025-07-06 0.614200 1.073446 1.832445 3.178301 5.511975 9.406081 16.429300
2025-07-13 0.566772 1.031754 1.831365 3.306642 5.969527 10.591722 19.267939
2025-07-20 0.531081 1.004499 1.849542 3.467865 6.501189 11.965011 22.613266
2025-07-27 0.490510 0.961931 1.833579 3.562719 6.921311 13.186412 25.837140
2025-08-03 0.451253 0.915871 1.804157 3.626282 7.287282 14.347153 29.091213
2025-08-10 0.396424 0.833211 1.697194 3.530876 7.344155 14.950441 31.389829
2025-08-17 0.341444 0.742302 1.561711 3.358984 7.222958 15.186098 32.976554
2025-08-24 0.309638 0.695480 1.509628 3.353059 7.445669 16.150118 36.229295
2025-08-31 0.276455 0.640827 1.433610 3.284668 7.523755 16.818473 38.932707
2025-09-07 0.266993 0.638022 1.469539 3.469509 8.188961 18.845651 44.969067
2025-09-14 0.250464 0.616418 1.460400 3.549509 8.624424 20.414479 50.164146
2025-09-21 0.228844 0.579531 1.411075 3.527534 8.815544 21.444183 54.215937
2025-09-28 0.200915 0.523116 1.307996 3.360470 8.630614 21.558186 56.031851
2025-10-05 0.193022 0.516286 1.324642 3.494770 9.216755 23.622328 63.066703
2025-10-12 0.187362 0.514459 1.353497 3.664329 9.916584 26.060358 71.416535
2025-10-19 0.178522 0.502873 1.355774 3.764067 10.445983 28.129732 79.074641